Weekly bulletin 23 September 2024
This week, the Central Bank of Iceland (CBI) releases a statement from the Financial Stability Committee and a report on financial stability. Statistics Iceland publishes inflation figures for September on Friday. Last week, the Housing and Construction Authority (HMS) published the housing price index, which rose sharply between months, and the rental price index, which was down between months. Data on payment card turnover, published by the CBI last week, indicates that there is still considerable domestic demand for goods and services.
23 September 2024
The week ahead
- On Wednesday, the CBI releases a statement from the Financial Stability Committee and the latter financial stability report of the year.
- On Friday, Statistics Iceland publishes inflation figures for September and the CBI its quarterly Hagvísar.
Image of the week
Last week, the US Federal Reserve cut the policy rate by 0.5 percentage points (pp). As a general rule, the Fed changes rates in 0.25 pp increments and the previous 0.5 pp change occurred in 2008, in the midst of an international financial crisis. A growing number of central banks are initiating rate-cut cycles, such as the central banks of Europe, Sweden, Switzerland and the Bank of England. The Central Bank of Norway has not joined in, any more than the CBI. Japan is an exception, raising rates in early August.
Highlights of the previous week
- HMS published the housing price index, the rental price index and its monthly report. The housing price index rose by 1.4% between months in August, the seventh month in a row. Despite this month-over-month increase, the 12-month change is down from 11.0% to 10.8%. Single-family dwellings in the capital city area rose most between months. The rental price index on the other hand was down by 1.1% between months in August. Despite this decrease, the 12-month change in the rental price index is higher than in the housing price index, or 12.2%.
- According to payment mediation figures, published last week by the CBI, payment card turnover by domestic households grew by 6.5% between years in August, having regard for changes in the exchange rate and domestic price levels. The increase measured 3.7% in Iceland and 19.3% overseas. This indicates that household demand for goods and services remains fairly strong domestically, despite high interest rates. Payment card turnover by visitors to Iceland grew by 3.5% between years in August, at fixed exchange rates. Tourist numbers are up by 0.3% between years, meaning that payment card turnover per tourist is up by 3.3% between years.
- The US Federal Reserve cut rates by 0.5 pp and the Bank of England kept rates unchanged. UK inflation was unchanged at 2.2% between months.
- Government Debt Management auctioned Treasury bills and cancelled a scheduled Treasury bond auction. Heimar expanded a bond series, Arion Bank issued a new USD-denominated Additional Tier bond, Hagar auctioned bills, the City of Reykjavík auctioned bonds and Landsbankinn concluded a covered bond auction and exchange offering.
Statistics and market data
Disclaimer
This review and/or summary is marketing material intended for information purposes and not for business purposes. This marketing material does not contain investment advice or independent investment analysis. The legal provisions that apply to financial advice and financial analysis do not apply to this content, including the ban on transactions prior to publication.Information about the prices of domestic shares, bonds and/or indices is source from Nasdaq Iceland - the Stock Exchange. Landsbankinn’s website contains further information under each individual equity, bond class or index. Information about the prices of non-domestic financial instruments, indices and/or funds are sourced from parties Landsbankinn considers reliable. Past returns are not an indication of future returns.
Information about the past returns of Landsbréf funds is based on information from Landsbréf. Detailed information about the historic performance of individual funds is available on Landsbankinn’s website, including on returns for the past 5 years. Information about the past performance of funds show nominal returns, unless otherwise stated. If results are based on foreign currencies, returns may increase or decrease as a result of currency fluctuations. Past returns are not necessarily an indication of future returns.
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